Daily Morning Report

Monday, May 20–Jim Wyckoff’s morning markets report

Asian and European stock indexes were mostly higher overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly higher openings when the New York day session begins and are not far below last week’s record highs.

Risk aversion is a bit keener to start the trading week. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, the country’s foreign minister, and others were killed in a helicopter crash Monday. The crash was in a foggy, mountainous region of the country’s northwest, state media reported. It appears the helicopter had mechanical problems and that it was not shot down. Meantime, a Chinese oil tanker was hit by a Houthi missile in the Red Sea, adding to geopolitical tensions.

Gold prices hit a new record high overnight, at $2,454.20 an ounce, basis June Comex futures. Reports say Chinese speculators are snapping up gold at a torrid pace and that bullion from the West is moving to China to satisfy the strong demand. It could be that Chinese investors have soured on China’s economic prospects and China financial markets, including the unsteady yuan Chinese currency, and are purchasing safe-haven gold and silver. Chinese real estate investment dropped 9.8%, year-on-year, from January to April. Broker SP Angel this morning said “China is struggling to contain the impact of the collapse of two major property developers which have left thousands of unfinished properties in limbo. To compound the problem, many of these apartments have been sold with buyers supporting mortgages on properties they are not able to move into.”

Western speculators are also buying gold, silver and other commodity futures markets amid ideas the major central banks of the world will be able to ease their monetary policies in the coming months, which would spark better global economic growth that would then spur more demand for raw commodities.

Silver prices hit an 11-year high overnight, at $32.75 an ounce, basis July Comex futures. Comex copper futures hit a record high of $5.1990 a pound overnight, basis the July contract.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly higher. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly down and trading around $79.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.42%.  

There is no major U.S. economic data due for release Monday.

STOCK INDEXES

June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are slightly up in early U.S. trading and not far below last week’s contract and record high. The shorter-term moving averages (4-day, 9-day and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at the record high of 5,349.00 and then at 5,375.00. Support for active traders is seen at 5,266.25 and then at last week’s low of 5,216.75. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 6.0

June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are a bit firmer in early U.S. trading and not far below last week’s contract and record high. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the record high of 18,760.75 and then at 18,900.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 18,500.00 and then at 18,393.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0.

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES

June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at Friday’s high of 118 2/32 and then at the May high of 118 23/32. Shorter-term support lies at 117 even and then at 116 even. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at Friday’s high of 109.18.5 and then at the May high of 109.31.5. Shorter-term technical support is seen at 109.00.0 and then at 108.24.0. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

EURO CURRENCY

The June Euro currency futures are weaker in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bullish early today, as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are neutral to bearish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at the May high of 1.0909 and then at 1.0950. Shorter-term support is seen at last Friday’s low of 1.0849 and then at 1.0800. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 4.5

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

June Nymex crude oil prices are a bit weaker in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages are neutral early today as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at the overnight high of $80.39 and then at $81.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at $78.00 and then at the May low of $76.70. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.5

GRAINS

Grain futures prices were higher overnight. Corn, HRW and SRW wheat, soybeans and soybean meal are all trending higher on the daily bar charts. On tap today is the weekly USDX export inspections report and the weekly USDA crop progress reports.

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):

1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff

Friday, May 17–Jim Wyckoff’s morning markets report

Asian and European stock indexes were mostly higher overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward mixed openings when the New York day session begins, after setting record highs on Thursday.

In overnight news, the Euro zone April consumer price index was reported up 2.4%, year-on-year, which was right in line with market expectations.

China’s government has announced measures to bolster is listing property sector, including a 300 billion yuan relending facility for affordable housing. China property stocks rallied sharply on the news. China also got some upbeat economic news today, as its April industrial output was up 6.7%, year-on-year, which was better than market expectations.

Comex copper futures prices this week hit a record high above $5.00 a pound. There continues to be talk in the metals industry of a big “short squeeze” in Comex copper futures. The respected broker SP Angel said this morning in an email dispatch: “China’s CMOC, which owns the IXM trading group, filed a report to the Shanghai Stock Exchange Thursday stating its positions were ‘completely controllable’ and its trades were ‘100% hedged to reduce price risks.’ Reuters reported on Wednesday that IXM and Trafigura were sourcing physical copper to deliver into CME to cover short positions. The positions reflect expectations that current copper prices have moved ahead of current demand requirements, with China buying muted. Supply disruptions have limited concentrate availability, seeing smelters rush to secure available feedstock to keep their operations running, with some operating at a loss. Traders expect redirected shipments into the U.S. to take some pressure of current prices, although this could take up to two weeks. Trading volumes in base metals have seen huge spikes this week, with LME contracts hitting all-time highs in liquidity terms. Speculators are wagering on base metals alongside hopes of lower interest rate environments and improved PMI data. Russian sanctions have also fueled concerns over metal shortages. Copper hedge fund positioning is reaching the highest levels since January 2018. Shanghai speculators are also taking part, with futures trading volumes setting record highs in April.”

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly up and trading around $79.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.38%.  

U.S. economic data due for release Friday is light and includes leading economic indicators.

STOCK INDEXES

June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are slightly up in early U.S. trading and not far below Thursday’s contract and record high. The shorter-term moving averages (4-day, 9-day and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at the record high of 5,349.00 and then at 5,375.00. Support for active traders is seen at Wednesday’s low of 5,266.25 and then at this week’s low of 5,216.75. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 5.5

June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are just a bit firmer in early U.S. trading after hitting a contract and record high Thursday. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the record high of 18,760.75 and then at 18,900.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 18,500.00 and then at Wednesday’s low of 18,393.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.5.

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES

June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 118 2/32 and then at this week’s high of 118 23/32. Shorter-term support lies at 117 even and then at 116 even. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.0

June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bearish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at the overnight high of 109.18.5 and then at this week’s high of 109.31.5. Shorter-term technical support is seen at 109.00.0 and then at 108.24.0. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.0

EURO CURRENCY

The June Euro currency futures are lower in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bullish early today, as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are neutral to bearish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at the overnight high of 1.0882 and then at this week’s high of 1.0909. Shorter-term support is seen at Wednesday’s low of 1.0828 and then at this week’s low of 1.0780. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 4.0

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

June Nymex crude oil prices are just a bit weaker in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages are neutral early today as the 4-day is even with the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at $80.00 and then at $81.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at $78.00 and then at this week’s low of $76.70. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.5

GRAINS

Grain futures prices were higher overnight. Corn, HRW and SRW wheat, soybeans and soybean meal are all trending higher on the daily bar charts. It appears the speculators are wanting to play the long sides of the grains, including the big “fund” traders.

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):

1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff

Thursday, May 16–Jim Wyckoff’s morning markets report

Asian and European stock indexes were mostly higher overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly firmer openings and at new record highs when the New York day session begins. A slightly cooler-than-expected U.S. CPI report on Wednesday cheered the stock and commodity market bulls.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly up. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $78.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.34%.  

Another busy day for U.S. economic data due for release Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, the Philadelphia Fed business survey, new residential construction, import and export price indexes, and industrial production and capacity utilization. Several Federal Reserve officials are also scheduled to speak today.

STOCK INDEXES

June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are slightly up in early U.S. trading and hit a contract and record high overnight. The shorter-term moving averages (4-day, 9-day and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at the record high of 5,343.25 and then at 5,375.00. Support for active traders is seen at Wednesday’s low of 5,266.25 and then at this week’s low of 5,216.75. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 6.0

June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are a bit firmer in early U.S. trading and hit a contract and record high overnight. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at 18,800.00 and then at 18,900.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 18,600.00 and then at Wednesday’s low of 18,393.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0.

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES

June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are firmer and hit a six-week high in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 118 22/32 and then at 119 even. Shorter-term support lies at 118 even and then at 117 even. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0

June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are slightly higher in early U.S. trading and hit a six-week high. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at 110.00.0 and then at 110.10.0. Shorter-term technical support is seen at 109.16.0 and then at 109.08.0. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.5

EURO CURRENCY

The June Euro currency futures are down just a bit in early U.S. trading after hitting a five-week high overnight. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bullish early today, as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are neutral to bearish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at the overnight high of 1.0909 and then at 1.0950. Shorter-term support is seen at Wednesday’s low of 1.0828 and then at this week’s low of 1.0780. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 4.5

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

June Nymex crude oil prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages are neutral early today as the 4-day is even with the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at the overnight high of $79.17 and then at $80.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at this week’s low of $76.70 and then at $75.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.5

GRAINS

Grain futures prices mixed but mostly firmer overnight. On tap today is the weekly USDA export sales report. Corn, HRW and SRW wheat, soybeans and soybean meal are all trending higher on the daily bar charts. It appears the speculators are wanting to play the long sides of the grains, including the big “fund” traders.

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):

1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff

Wednesday, May 15–Jim Wyckoff’s morning markets report

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward mixed openings when the New York day session begins. The marketplace is awaiting the U.S. consumer price index report for April, out this morning. CPI is seen up 0.4%, compared to the March report showing a rise of 0.4%. The annual CPI April reading is seen up 3.6% compared to up 3.8% in the March report. Traders and investors are thinking the CPI report might come in hot today, following the producer price index report for April that was out Tuesday morning and ran hot on inflation.

In overnight news, Comex copper futures hit a new record high of $5.1280 a pound. Tighter global supplies, better world economic growth, smelter issues in China, as well as rampant market speculation, are driving the red industrial metal’s price sharply higher. Could copper be the next cocoa? Cocoa futures last year at this time were trading around $3,000 a metric ton. In April, cocoa futures reached a record high of $12,261 a ton.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index weaker. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly weaker and trading around $78.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.42%.  

Beside the CPI report, it’s a very busy day for U.S. economic data Wednesday, also including the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, the Empire State manufacturing survey, retail sales, real earnings, the NAHB housing market index, manufacturing and trade inventories, the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report and Treasury international capital data. A few Federal Reserve officials also are slated to speak today.

STOCK INDEXES

June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading and hit a five-week high overnight. The shorter-term moving averages (4-day, 9-day and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at 5,300.00 and then at the contract high of 5,333.50. Support for active traders is seen at this week’s low of 5,216.75 and then at 5,200.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 5.5

June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading and hit a five-week high overnight. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at 18,500.00 and then at 18,600.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 18,250.00 and then at this week’s low of 18,165.50. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0.

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES

June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are higher and hit a five-week high in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at 118 even and then at 119 even. Shorter-term support lies at 116 even and then at this week’s low of 115 21/32. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0

June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are higher in early U.S. trading and hit a five-week high. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at 109.16.0 and then at 109.24.0. Shorter-term technical support is seen at the overnight low of 109.00.5 and then at this week’s low of 108.15.0. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0

EURO CURRENCY

The June Euro currency futures are up just a bit in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bullish early today, as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are bullish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at the overnight high of 1.0850 and then at 1.0900. Shorter-term support is seen at this week’s low of 1.0780 and then at last week’s low of 1.0740. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 5.5

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

June Nymex crude oil prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages are bearish early today as the 4-day is below the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at $79.00 and then at $80.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at the May low of $76.89 and then at $76.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.5

GRAINS

Grain futures prices were firmer overnight. Corn, HRW and SRW wheat, soybeans and soybean meal are all trending higher on the daily bar charts. It appears the speculators are wanting to play the long sides of the grains, including the big “fund” traders.

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):

1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff

Tuesday, May 14–Jim Wyckoff’s morning markets report

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed to weaker overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins.

Traders and investors are awaiting key U.S. inflation data for April out this week, starting with the producer price index on Tuesday and then the consumer price index on Wednesday. Tuesday’s PPI is seen up 0.3%, month-on-month, compared to a rise of 0.2% in the March report. CPI is seen up 0.4%, compared to the March report showing a rise of 0.4%. The annual CPI April reading is seen up 3.6% compared to up 3.8% in the March report.

In overnight news, Japanese bond yields are nearing the 1% mark amid the Bank of Japan’s effective slight tightening of its monetary policy. Japan’s government bond yields have not been above 1% for 12 years.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index near steady. Nymex crude oil prices are near steady and trading around $79.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.477%.  

Other U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday includes the weekly Johnson Redbook retail sales report, and the NFIB small business index.

STOCK INDEXES

June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages (4-day, 9-day and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at the May high of 5,264.00 and then at 5,300.00. Support for active traders is seen at 5,225.00 and then at 5,200.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 5.0

June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at last week’s high of 18,348.00 and then at 18,500.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 18,100.00 and then at last week’s low of 17,983.75. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0.

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES

June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the May high of 117 7/32 and then at 118 even. Shorter-term support lies at last week’s low of 115 23/32 and then at 115 even. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are slightly firmer in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at 109.03.5 and then at the May high of 109.09.5. Shorter-term technical support is seen at last week’s low of 108.19.5 and then at 108.10.0. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

EURO CURRENCY

The June Euro currency futures are up just a bit in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bullish early today, as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are bullish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at the May high of 1.0832 and then at 1.0900. Shorter-term support is seen at last week’s low of 1.0740 and then at 1.0700. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 5.5

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

June Nymex crude oil prices are near steady in early U.S. trading. The shorter-term moving averages are neutral early today as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at $80.00 and then at $81.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at Monday’s low of $77.78 and then at the May low of $76.89. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

GRAINS

Grain futures prices were mixed overnight. Grain market bulls have come to life. Corn, HRW and SRW wheat, soybeans and soybean meal are all trending higher on the daily bar charts. It appears the speculators are wanting to play the long side of the grains, including the big “fund” traders.

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):

1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.

Jim Wyckoff