The Nymex crude oil futures market remains in a solid price uptrend on the daily chart and recently hit a 2.5-year high. The crude oil bull remain technically very strong and there are no early clues to suggest a market top is close at hand. Thus, the path of least resistance will remain sideways to higher in the near term. Any early clues of a potential trend change in crude oil and other markets will be in my daily market update reports. Stay tuned!– Jim
Daily Morning Report
Rising bond yields back in focus Friday
Friday, March 12–Jim Wyckoff’s Morning Markets Report
Global stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed mixed to weaker openings when the New York day session begins, on some profit taking and routine downside corrections following recent good gains that pushed the Dow and S&P 500 indexes to record highs on Thursday. Generally, trader and investor risk appetite is robust in the marketplace at present. There are no geopolitical flare-ups, major economies are healing rapidly from their pain of the pandemic and the U.S. government is set to roll out a $1.9 trillion spending package for Americans.
Government bond yields are on the rise again Friday after a very brief respite at mid-week, which has given stock market traders pause again. The closely watched U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is now fetching 1.609% in early U.S. trading Friday, and back near the highest level seen in over a year. Rising bond yields are not yet at the levels that would produce problematic price inflation, but the trajectory of the rising yields is starting to concern some market watchers. Today, the U.S. gets an inflation report in the producer price index for February, expected to be up 0.5% from January and compares to a rise of 1.3% in January from December.
In other news, Bitcoin prices rose to another record high overnight, above $58,000, before pulling back a bit.
The key “outside markets” today see Nymex crude oil futures prices weaker and trading around $65.65 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is solidly higher early today.
U.S. economic data due for release Friday includes the producer price index and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.
–Jim
U.S. STOCK INDEXES
June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are lower in early U.S. trading, on profit taking after hitting a record high Thursday. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages (4-, 9- and 18-day) are neutral early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at Thursday’s record high of 3,949.00 and then at 3,975.00. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Downside support for active traders is seen at Thursday’s low of 3,883.25 and then at Wednesday’s low of 3,847.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 4.5
June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are solidly lower in early U.S. trading on a corrective pullback from this week’s strong gains. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are neutral early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day average is below the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at 13,000.00 and then at this week’s high of 13,110.50. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 12,695.00 and then at 12,500.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.0.
U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are solidly lower in early U.S. trading and near the contract low. Bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bearish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at 157 even and then at the overnight high of 157 24/32. Shorter-term support lies at the contract low of 155 27/32 and then at 155 16/32. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 3.0
June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are solidly lower in early U.S. trading and near the recent contract low. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at 132.00.0 and then at 132.08.0. Shorter-term technical support lies at the contract low of 131.23.5 and then at 131.16.0. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 3.0
EURO CURRENCY
The June Euro currency futures are lower in early U.S. trading. Bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bearish early today, as the 4-day is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are neutral to bearish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at 1.2000 and then at this week’s high of 1.2014. Shorter-term support is seen at the overnight low of 1.1933 and then at 1.1900. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 4.0
NYMEX CRUDE OIL
April Nymex crude oil prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage amid a price uptrend in place on the daily chart. The shorter-term moving averages are bullish early today as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at the overnight high of $66.24 and then at $67.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at $65.00 and then at $64.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0
GRAINS
U.S. grain futures are lower in early U.S. pre-market trading, amid a risk-off trading day so far Friday. It could be that markets will pause and remain choppy and sideways up until the March 31 USDA planting intentions and quarterly grains stocks reports. Grain market bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage as prices are still mostly trending up—both on a near-term and longer-term basis.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
Jim Wyckoff
Stock market bulls gain momentum Thursday
Thursday, March 11–Jim Wyckoff’s Morning Markets Report
Global stock markets were mostly higher overnight. China’s Shanghai composite index saw its biggest one-day advance since October. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward higher openings when the New York day session begins. Traders and investors are in “risk-on” moods late this week after the U.S. Congress approved a $1.9 trillion stimulus package for Americans that will be signed by President Biden Friday. Also, Covid vaccinations continue to rise in the U.S., with health experts saying that all Americans who want a shot can likely get one by the end of April.
U.S. Treasury bond yields appear to have stabilized late this week. The closely watched U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is fetching 1.499% in early U.S. trading Thursday. Bond yields have been rising in recent weeks on worries about problematic inflation surfacing as the major economies of the world have turned on their money spigots wide open over the past year. Still, inflation readings from the major economies are so far not running hot.
Traders in Europe were awaiting the results of the latest meeting of the European Central Bank Thursday. No changes in EU monetary policy are expected.
The key “outside markets” today see Nymex crude oil futures prices higher and trading around $65.20 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is lower early today.
U.S. economic data due for release Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, expected to show new claims at 725,000 compared to 745,000 in new claims reported last week.
–Jim
U.S. STOCK INDEXES
June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are higher in early U.S. trading and closing in on the record high scored in February. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages (4-, 9- and 18-day) are neutral early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at 3,924.50 and then at the record high of 3,947.75. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Downside support for active traders is seen at the overnight low of 3,883.25 and then at Wednesday’s low of 3,847.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 6.5
June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are solidly higher in early U.S. trading. Bulls have momentum again. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are still bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day average is below the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 13,004.25 and then at 13,100.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 12,800.00 and then at the overnight low of 12,715.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.5.
U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are slightly up in early U.S. trading. Bears still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 158 28/32 and then at 159 even. Shorter-term support lies at the overnight low of 157 24/32 and then at 157 16/32. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.5
June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are higher in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are still bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at the overnight high of 133.00.5 and then at 133.08.0. Shorter-term technical support lies at the overnight low of 132.14.0 and then at Wednesday’s low of 132.04.5. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0
EURO CURRENCY
The June Euro currency futures are higher in early U.S. trading. Bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bearish early today, as the 4-day is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are bullish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at 1.2000 and then at 1.2050. Shorter-term support is seen at the overnight low of 1.1939 and then at 1.1900. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 6.0
NYMEX CRUDE OIL
April Nymex crude oil prices are higher in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage amid a price uptrend in place on the daily chart. The shorter-term moving averages are bullish early today as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at the overnight high of $65.63 and then at $66.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at this week’s low of $63.13 and then at $62.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0
GRAINS
U.S. grain futures are mixed in early U.S. pre-market trading, on profit taking and chart consolidation. It could be that markets will pause and remain choppy and sideways up until the March 31 USDA planting intentions and quarterly grains stocks reports. Grain market bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage as prices are still mostly trending up—both on a near-term and longer-term basis. On tap today is the weekly USDA export sales report.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
Jim Wyckoff
Greenback making comeback
The U.S. dollar index is a basket of six major world currencies weighted against the greenback. See on the daily bar chart that the USDX has rallied this week to a 3.5-month high. The dollar bulls have energy to suggest sideways-to-higher price action in the near term, and maybe longer. Stay tuned!– Jim
Stock markets pause at mid-week
Wednesday, March 10–Jim Wyckoff’s Morning Markets Report
Global stock markets were mixed to higher overnight. China’s stock market stabilized at mid-week after seeing strong selling pressure earlier this week. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins. Trader and investor attitudes are more upbeat at mid-week, following strong gains posted in the U.S. stock market on Tuesday. However, after retreating a bit Tuesday, U.S. Treasury yields are on the rise again Wednesday morning, which is likely to limit buying interest in equities. The closely watched U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is fetching 1.554% in early U.S. trading.
In overnight news, producer price inflation data from China is running a bit hotter. The producer price index for February was reported up 1.7% compared to a rise of 0.3% in January. However, the consumer price index in China in February remained tame, at down 0.2%. All these figures are based on year-on-year.
The key U.S. data point at mid-week is the consumer price index for February, expected to come in at up 0.4% from January, compared to a 0.3% rise seen in January from December. CPI, year-on-year in February, is seen up 1.7%.
The key “outside markets” today see Nymex crude oil futures prices higher and trading around $64.25 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is firmer early today.
Other U.S. economic data due for release Wednesday includes the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, real earnings, the monthly Treasury budget statement and the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report.
–Jim
U.S. STOCK INDEXES
June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are slightly lower in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage but trading has been choppy at higher levels. The shorter-term moving averages (4-, 9- and 18-day) are neutral early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at this week’s high of 3,891.50 and then at 3,924.50. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Downside support for active traders is seen at Tuesday’s low of 3,816.50 and then at this week’s low of 3,786.50. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 4.5
June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. Prices have been trending down for three weeks. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day average is below the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at this week’s high of 12,856.50 and then at 13,000.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 12,600.00 and then at 12,500.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.5.
U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are lower in early U.S. trading. Bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 158 8/32 and then at 159 even. Shorter-term support lies at 157 even and then at Tuesday’s low of 156 21/32. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.0
June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are weaker in early U.S. trading. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at the overnight high of 132.15.5 and then at 132.20.0. Shorter-term technical support lies at 132.00.0 and then at the contract low of 131.23.5. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 4.0
EURO CURRENCY
The June Euro currency futures are weaker in early U.S. trading. Bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bearish early today, as the 4-day is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are neutral early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at this week’s high of 1.1957 and then at 1.2000. Shorter-term support is seen at this week’s low of 1.1861 and then at 1.1850. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 4.5
NYMEX CRUDE OIL
April Nymex crude oil prices are slightly higher in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage amid a price uptrend in place on the daily chart. The shorter-term moving averages are bullish early today as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at $65.00 and then at $66.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at the overnight low of $63.13 and then at $62.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.5
GRAINS
U.S. grain futures are solidly lower in early U.S. pre-market trading, on profit taking and weak long liquidation. It could be that markets will now pause and remain choppy and sideways up until the March 31 USDA planting intentions and quarterly grains stocks reports, which are two of the most important grain market reports of the year. Grain market bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage as prices are still mostly trending up—both on a near-term and longer-term basis.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
Jim Wyckoff
Bond yields retreat Tuesday
Tuesday, March 9–Jim Wyckoff’s Morning Markets Report
Global stock markets were mixed to firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward solidly higher openings when the New York day session begins. Bond market yields are on the retreat Tuesday, which is boosting trader and investor risk appetite and boosting share prices. The yield on the U.S. Treasury 10-year note was fetching 1.542% early today. Big hedge fund manager David Tepper on CNBC Monday predicted the rise in U.S. government bond yields has now mostly played out. Some other analysts on TV and in the media are saying the same. However, many just think Tepper and the others are just talking their book. This 35-year market watcher thinks the inflation genie is already out of the bottle.
The marketplace is also upbeat early this week as it appears the U.S. Congress will this week pass a $1.9 trillion pandemic stimulus package for Americans, to then be signed by President Biden.
Gold prices are sharply higher today on the falling bond yields and weaker U.S. dollar index, but mostly on a corrective bounce after hitting a 10-month low on Monday.
In overnight news, the Paris-based OECD think tank forecast the global economy will rebound to pre-pandemic growth levels by the middle of this year, at 5.6% growth, but warned that strong U.S. economic growth could unbalance weaker world economies. The OECD sees the U.S. economy growing by 6.5% in 2021—double the pace it forecast in November. The group forecast China’s economic growth in 2021 at 7.8%.
The key “outside markets” today see Nymex crude oil futures prices higher and trading around $65.65 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is lower on a corrective pullback after hitting a 3.5-month high Monday.
U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday is light and includes the weekly Goldman Sachs and Johnson Redbook retail sales reports, and the NFIB small business optimism index.
–Jim
U.S. STOCK INDEXES
June S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are higher in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage but trading has been choppy at higher levels. The shorter-term moving averages (4-, 9- and 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are bullish early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at Monday’s high of 3,868.75 and then at 3,900.00. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Downside support for active traders is seen at the overnight low of 3,816.50 and then at Monday’s low of 3,786.50. Wyckoff’s Intra-day Market Rating: 6.0
June Nasdaq index futures: Prices are sharply up in early U.S. trading. However, prices have been trending down for three weeks. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day average is below the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 12,600.00 and then at Monday’s high of 12,751.00. On the downside, shorter-term support is seen at 12,500.00 and then at 12,400.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.5.
U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
June U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are solidly up in early U.S. trading on short covering from recent strong selling pressure. Bears still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at the overnight high of 158 6/32 and then at 159 even. Shorter-term support lies at 157 even and then at the overnight low of 156 21/32. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0
June U.S. T-Notes: Prices are solidly higher in early U.S. trading on short covering. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are still bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at 132.16.0 and then at 132.24.0. Shorter-term technical support lies at 132.00.0 and then at the contract low of 131.26.5. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0
EURO CURRENCY
The June Euro currency futures are higher on short covering after hitting a four-month low overnight. Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages for the Euro are bearish early today, as the 4-day is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators for the Euro are neutral to bullish early today. The Euro currency finds shorter-term technical resistance at Monday’s high of 1.1957 and then at 1.2000. Shorter-term support is seen at 1.1900 and then at the overnight low of 1.1861. Wyckoff’s Intra Day Market Rating: 6.0
NYMEX CRUDE OIL
April Nymex crude oil prices are higher in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage amid a price uptrend in place on the daily chart. The shorter-term moving averages are bullish early today as the 4-day is above the 9-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at $66.00 and then at $67.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at the overnight low of $64.34 and then at $64.00. Wyckoff’s Intra-Day Market Rating: 6.0
GRAINS
U.S. grain futures are mixed in early U.S. pre-market trading. The data point of the week for the grain markets is today’s monthly USDA supply and demand report near midday. That report is expected to favor the bullish camps. Markets may remain choppy and sideways up until the late-March USDA planting intentions report, which is one of the most important grain market reports of the year. Grain market bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage as prices are mostly trending up—both on a near-term and longer-term basis.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
Jim Wyckoff